Caslon Analytics elephant logo title for Spam Regulation note
home | about | site use | resources | publications | timeline   spacer graphic   Ketupa

overview

industry

offers

attention

fraud

statistics

blacklists

EU cases

US cases













related pages icon
related
Guides:

Governance

Information
Economy


Security
& Crime


Identity
Crimes








related pages icon
related

Profiles:

Spam
regulation in Australia


Forgery &
Forensics


419 Scam

Resume
crime


Diploma
Mills

section heading icon     offers

This page comments on some of the offers made by spammers. 

It covers -

subsection heading icon     introduction

The following page indicates that the type and volume of spam received varies considerably over time, depending on factors such as the efficiency of filtering mechanisms (eg lists maintained by most ISPs), whether an email address has been published and whether a scammer has successfully pumped-&-dumped a penny dreadful.

It is clear that some naive businesses and other organisations are unaware that unsolicited bulk messaging may be resented (so much so that the sender's profile is eroded) and may be illegal. Those organisations may indeed be offering legitimate products, services and opportunities: they are inept, rather than iniquitous.

Others, however, invite the recipient to become complicit in an illegality (eg buy unlicensed software, engage in money laundering) or make offers that are indeed too good to be true, with the consumer having little recourse when a product is not as described, does not arrive as promised or is unsupported by a meaningful dispute resolution mechanism. Some, such as phishing exercises where the sender invites unaware consumers to surrender the keys to their accounts, are directly fraudulent.

Email management service CipherTrust claimed in 2006 that spam promoting pornography is 280 times more likely to be clicked than messages advertising pharmaceuticals, with the third most successful spam being that advertising Rolex watches (supposedly 0.0075 percent score a click).

The following paragraphs comment on particular categories of spam that we have encountered.

A more detailed note on the '419' or 'Nigerian' scam is here.

subsection heading icon     software

Spam offers of proprietary software (in particular the dominant wordprocessing, spreadsheet and nonprofessional graphics packages) are common, typically priced at 5% to 10% of what the consumer would find in the shops.

Messages often feature 'explanations' such as -

Why so cheap? All the software is OEM - Meaning that you don't get the box and the manual with your software. All you will receive is the actual software and your unique registration code. All the software is in the English language for PC. Our offers are unbeatable and we always update our prices to make sure we provide you with the best possible offers.

Hurry up and place your order, because our supplies are limited.

In fact supplies are limitless because the software is pirated rather than authorised by Microsoft, Adobe, Corel or a similar copyright owner. It is not OEM (ie licenced to a hardware manufacturer), is not legitimate and is not supported by the software company.

It may, indeed, not be as described: consumers recurrently complain to government agencies (or, more loudly, to each other in online fora) that having provided their credit card details they discovered that the code being downloaded from the spammer's server was partial, defective or simply wrong ... and that the vendor was not there to deal with their unhappiness.

The spammers encourage recipients to step right up and buy because their server may not be at the address for very long before it is moved along to evade lawyers and officials. The number of credit cards that are compromised through purchases of illegal software from servers in Russia and other locations is unknown: it is naive for consumers to believe that they can trust software thieves to sell them stolen code and not exploit their cards.

subsection heading icon     watches, birches and other bling

Although statistics are uncertain it is probable that much of the online population has received recurrent offers of 'unique timepieces' and other bling.

Some of those messages purport to offer genuine designer brands at steep discounts, eg the '$50 Rolex'. Others offer lookalike versions.

Possessing such items is not illegal. However the maker and vendor of counterfeits typically breach the trademarks of the original manufacturers. Will you get what you asked for in responding to offer? Judging by complaints made to consumer protection agencies and in newsgroups the answer is no: items are paid for but do not arrive, items arrive but are not as described, credit card details are misused by identity thieves. Some industry studies of fake watches suggest that the average life span is under three years.

Spam offers of watches - aka "eloquent watchwear pieces" - appear to be particularly popular because manufacturing and distribution costs are low (eg it is cheaper to ship faux Omega timepieces than fake Vuitton suitcases) and because a sufficiently large number of consumers are prepared to buy such items sight unseen. Arguably it is also because spammers in emerging economies are reflecting local perceptions of what is desirable, with a watch providing a more affordable and visible sign of distinction - genuine or otherwise - than a BMW.

One vendor of "genuine Rolex replicas" thus confides -

a rolex very often costs too much money for the average person, that is why they want a GENUINE Swiss-Made replica, which costs only 1/100 to 1/300 of the actual watch. A high-end rolex shows wealth, power and status. Yet, very often people who trying to get ahead need to give the appearance that they have achieved wealth, power and status. That is when replica watch is inexpensive and effective solution. It gives impression you are wearing the genuine Rolex while you are atending posh cocktail party or signifigant business meeting. [sic]

Another boasts "Replica Classic watches are not fake they are just not real".

Other types of bling are promoted online. Our favourite in 2005 concerned supposed handicrafts from Tomsk -

Family and friends will speak of your gift throughout the night, compliments and thanks will fly in your direction the entire evening, and the dinner's hosts will remain thinking of you for years to come.

No, we are not talking about food poisoning ...

A gift such as this could be none other than the one-of-a-kind hand-carved heart boxes created in only one place on earth, the small rural city of Tomsk, located in Siberia. The Siberian White Birch produces a light colored and soft wood that gives craftsmen the ability to hand-carve intricate details in these ornaments and create works of art that are smooth to the touch and extraordinarily functional.

As with the deep discount software from Vladivostok or Bucharest, will you get what you are expecting. Do the boxes indeed exist? Perhaps what you will remain thinking about "for years to come" is how your credit card came to be used to pay the domain name resistration for a child porn site?

subsection heading icon     a new you

Some consumers are obviously ignoring the heart boxes and buying brandname or generic performance aids instead.

The market appears to be driven by a mix of embarrassment (it is common to see claims that under 10% of 'disfunctional' men seek the aid of their GP and family pharmacist), interest in deep-discount meds and perceptions that supplies are tight.

Estimated global sales in 2005 of Viagra and competing formulations such as Cialis, Vivanza and Levitra were US$2.5 billion (with Viagra accounting for US$1.68 billion globally and around $26 million in Australia), around 0.5% of total spending on prescription pharmaceuticals. Viagra came on the market in May 1998, with global sales reaching US$1 billion in 1999 amid forecasts by Wall Street analysts that sales would continue to soar. (In 1998 for example Morgan Stanley predicted sales would amount to US$2.6 billion in 2000; Gruntal's crystal ball saw US$4.5 billion by 2004.) In the US doctors prescribe impotence drugs about 17 million times a year, to fewer than five million men. That compares with around 100 million prescriptions for antidepressants and 40 million for osteoporosis. It is unclear whether reported declines in the sale of exotica such as powedered reindeer antlers, sea cucumbers, geckos, tiger and rhinoceros gonads and green sea turtle eggs are attributable to better living through modern chemicals (with, for example, debate about arguments by scholar William von Hippel PDF).

Are consumers - whether thrill seeking 20-something party animals or 60-something US males who use the drug twice a month - getting what they expect.

Some enforcement action by Pfixer, Eli Lilly and associates in response to spam offers suggests that some consumers are not getting anything at all or are receiving understrength medications. Others are getting legitimate stock that "fell off the back of the truck" or Indian generic versions of patented medications, with or without abuse of trademarks and copyrights.
In 2004 Dr Nicola Wilson of the University of London told the British Pharmaceutical Conference that, based on detailed sampling, around half of all spam Viagra might be fake.

Sufficient people are undeterred to make spamming worthwhile. In 2003 the UK Customs Service recorded seizures of around 30,000 counterfeit Viagra tablets entering the country through the post; by late 2004 the US government was reporting estimates that over 20 million shipments were coming through the mail that year.

subsection heading icon     discount meds and potions

There are similar questions about spam offers of over-the-counter and prescription medications for arthritis, cancer, aging, high blood pressure, wrinkles, multiple sclerosis, fatigue, depression or simply unwanted avoirdupois.

As Alexandra George notes in the 2003 E-Shopping for Fakes: The Internet Business in Trademark Counterfeits (PDF) some consumers are apparently attracted by convenience, others by perceived low prices or the lack of restrictions on dispensing in an environment where the vendor's only concern is whether the consumer's credit card is healthy and there is no recognition of problems with self-medication. The extent of buying in response to spam offers is unclear; many statements from industry and government about the US market for example conflate buying from 'Canadian' e-pharmacy sites with purchases in response to spam.

Elsewhere we have noted concerns about fake drugs - including horrors such as the anti-inflammatory that featured boric acid, floor polish and yellow paint or the no-name 'muscle tonic' that include horse steroids and diethylene glycol. Redress from an offshore spam pharmacy selling unlicensed knockoffs is problematical. Difficulties can be compounded by the legal status of purchases, since many nations prohibit unauthorised imports of OTC drugs given concerns regarding intellectual property and public health.

The extent to which consumers are receiving and responding to offers of 'unorthodox' medications - including herbal remedies, exotic animal extracts and miscellaneous elixirs - is unclear. A 2003 offer of "radium pills" struck us as too redolent of 1920s snake oil patent medicine sales.

New Zealand and Australian Customs officials have publicised seizure of imports of Hoodia, hyped as a dieting aid but derived from a cactus-like plant protected under the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species. Hoodia could only be legally imported and traded with certification under that Convention: there is no dispensation for people who respond to 'miraculous' offers online.

subsection heading icon     phishing

Phishers typically send an email that claims to be from a legitimate entitity such as a bank or eBay and that advises that the consumer's account details have been compromised or should be updated for improved security. The link in that email goes to a site that features the appropriate logo (and may even feature correct trustmarks) but is in fact bogus. The victim thereupon enters the account information, giving the phisher what is needed to loot the account and, often, to engage in broader identity theft.

Studies of phishing, such as the 2006 Why Phishing Works (PDF) by Rachna Dhamija & Marti Hearst, are considered in more detail elsewhere on this site.

subsection heading icon     lotteries

Spam claiming that the recipient has won the lottery gives you an opportunity to play identity theft roulette where the house always wins.

The recipient - who typically has not entered the lottery (and in may cases has never heard of the lottery) - is invited to contact a claims agent to collect the loot, receiving a claim form that will supposedly verify the recipient's identity. Verification involves provision of full personal details and a copy of the driver's license or passport. That provides the scammers with enough data for identity theft.

Alas, the scam generally does not stop there. Consumers who provide the information generally receive an email indicating that the winnings can be transferred to their bank account, collected in person or placed in a new account with a phony bank. Those who ask for a transfer then receive advice that they need to pay upfront fees - 419 style - for processing, taxes or even legal fees and insurance. Some of the more credulous victims, persuaded that their new millions will be safer in an offshore account unknown to tax officials, take up the scammers' generous advice about opening a new account. That account typically involves the recipient transferring money to that 'bank' as an opening deposit, which is course never seen again.

subsection heading icon     penny dreadfuls

Speculators and scammers have preyed on the greed, ignorance or gullibility of small investors since the emergence of financial exchanges. Prior to the net regulatory agencies grappled with phenomena such as telephone boiler rooms, placement of 'tips' in the press, whispering campaigns and newsletters that encouraged consumers to believe a stock was about to increase in value. Having pumped up prices through such promotion figures such as Joseph Kennedy (eminence grise behind JFK and his brothers) dumped their interests through sale to naive investors.

That has continued online. The US SEC comments

Pump and dump schemes often occur on the Internet where it is common to see messages posted that urge readers to buy a stock quickly or to sell before the price goes down, or a telemarketer will call using the same sort of pitch. Often the promoters will claim to have "inside" information about an impending development or to use an "infallible" combination of economic and stock market data to pick stocks. In reality, they may be company insiders or paid promoters who stand to gain by selling their shares after the stock price is "pumped" up by the buying frenzy they create. Once these fraudsters "dump" their shares and stop hyping the stock, the price typically falls, and investors lose their money.

Stock spam often emanates from third parties seeking to manipulate the target company's share price: that company may not be responsible for the spam in any way. It typically features boilerplate such as

All information provided within this email pertaining

to investing, stocks, securities must be understood as information provided and not investment advice. [Spammer] advises all readers and subscribers to seek advice from a registered professional securities representative before deciding to trade in stocks featured within this email. None of the material within this report shall be construed as any kind of investment advice [and thereby expose the spammer to liability under US securities legislation]. Please have in mind that the interpretation of the writer of this newsletter about the news published by the company does not represent the company official statement and in fact may differ from the real meaning of what the news release meant to say.

Put simply, the information is worthless: user beware!

Prosecutions of stock spammers have taken place. One example is SEC v. Jeffery Steven Stone, et al (SDNY, 2006), in which the US Securities & Exchange Commission charged a former felon Jeffery Stone and his wife with orchestrating a fraud that featured spam and allowed them to pocket over US$1 million.

Rainer Böhme & Thorsten Holz's 2006 paper The Effect of Stock Spam on Financial Markets considers 391 shares promoted by spammers from 2004 to 2006, with fluctuation of over 13% after spamming relative to unspammed peers. Joshua Cyr reported in 2006 that a notional investment of US$70,987 on the basis of soam tips in mid 2005 would be worth US$24,325 a year later. There is a more searching analysis in Spam Works: Evidence From Stock Touts and Corresponding Market Activity, a 2006 paper by Laura Frieder & Jonathan Zittrain.

An account by a boiler room operator is provided in Jordan Belfort's The Wolf of Wall Street (New York: Hachette 2007). Belfort pumped & dumped stocks to thousands of unsuspecting investors via the Stratton Oakmont brokerage in the 1990s, with investors losing at least US$250 million. He served only two years of a four year prison sentence for fraud and money laundering, with Stratton Oakmont victims receiving a fraction of the US$110 million restitution ordered by the court.

subsection heading icon     a degree in a day

Some spam offers instant certification for a credentialist society. We particularly like invitations to gain a back-dated 'doctorate' within two weeks from, oops, an unaccredited 'institution' that has less prestige than a cereal packet. Why worry that the diploma mill does not even possess a website, when certification is a matter of ...

No required tests, classes, books, or interviews. No one is turned down. Confidentiality assured. CALL NOW to receive your diploma within days!!!

and you are reassured that critics

are people who have frittered away years in classrooms absorbing blindly and thoughtlessly second hand information in a theoretical environment completely removed from real life, and for what? In order to acquire the right to use the same Title or post-nominal letters that you can legally acquire in a matter of days for the price a meal in a decent restaurant.

In 2004 Pennsylvania used state consumer protection legislation in litigation against spammers who offered a PhD or MBA within 72 hours, somewhat quicker than the traditional 14 day turnaround.

We have discussed diploma mills in a complementary note, along with an exploration of 'resume massaging' and resume verification services.

subsection heading icon     jobs in the laundry business

Other spam is more sinister, as supposed offers of employment are in fact invitations to engage in money laundering for Eastern European mafiosi.

We are particularly impressed by one from "Chickago" that invites the recipient to "Work in the big foreign company" - so big of course that it has no physical address - and recurrent offers from the "Human Recourses departament" [sic] of Ukrainian Folk Instruments Sales PE, supposedly doing major business in Australia selling instruments with "gold strings or inlaid with diamonds and rubies".

Wdinvestz.com, supposedly based in Moldova, eschews the diamonds in favour of promises of amazing rewards

1. 10 days you will get paid 980% DAILY
2. You can invest amount of money for 15 days and get 1200% after 15 days.
3. You can invest amount of money for 30 days and get 1800% after 30 days

Scepticism about an Eastern European Ponzi scheme would not be reduced by email from "Suffocate O. Uncensored" and other colleagues at wdinvestz.com and worldinzone.com.

Sundry enterprises, supposedly domiciled in Lithuania or Estonia, explain that

The international money transfer tax for legal entities (companies) is 35%, whereas for the individual it is only 3%. We need agents to receive payment for our products (by electronic money transfer) and to resend the money to us. This way we will save money because of tax decreasing.

Some offers of jobs are marvellously direct. One for example asks the recipient to provide

Your Name:
Your Age:
Your Country:
Your City:
Your Street:
Your Phone number:
Your Email:
Your Current Occupation:
Your SSN:

We are surprised that you are not asked for the family pet's name as well.

Ignoring the lie about the 35% "international money transfer tax", it is useful to remember that legitimate businesses do not rely on private accounts in the name of unrelated individuals for processing payments from their customers. They similarly do not use private individuals to receive and remail correspondence and parcels. They do not use fictitious email names such as 'Blister Q Portly' and send messages to people at random. They do not pay individuals 5% for international money transfers when such transfers are available from banks for a small flat fee and when legitimate businesses can establish accounts in offshore banks.

subsection heading icon     crystal balls and garlic

Faith healers, psychics, specialists in the removal of curses and other practitioners of the 'black arts' (or merely exploiters of credulity) have migrated online.

Use of the net and other electronic networks by individual scammers and by businesses is explored here.







icon for link to next page    next page  (spam in the attention economy)



this site
the web

Google
version of October 2007
© Bruce Arnold
caslon.com.au | caslon analytics